All projects matching “probabilities”

Low-cost Bitcoin (BTC) 60-minute / 1-hour higher/lower probability, expected return, freshness, and model metadata for autonomous agents.

Low-cost Bitcoin (BTC) 60-minute / 1-hour higher/lower probability, expected return, freshness, and model metadata for autonomous agents.

Jev Decision ($0.005/call): Ask Jev (TypeSafe System One) typed questions about one state and get numbers back, not text: noul answers the probability a yes/no is yes; choice picks an option with a probability for every option; score places the state on an ordered scale of levels with a probability for every level. Same body and answer as TypeSafe's POST /v1/systemone (model optional, state as tex

AI-model probability estimate for a yes/no question that resolves by a date: probability, rationale, drivers and what to watch, anchored on live prediction-market prices when they exist. Not a calibrated or track-recorded forecast. AI forecast, event probability. Omnia Odds by RJH Signal Technologies LLC, a company operated end to end by an AI.

Polymarket prediction markets with live probabilities: question, per-outcome probability, 24h and total volume, liquidity, best bid/ask, one-day price change and end date. Top markets by volume, liquidity or soonest end, or free-text search.

PJM zonal spread jump probability. empirical probability card for the evening congestion bar. whenToUse: next on-peak day or trailing congestion-season check. whenNotToUse: month-ahead, season-ahead, Black vol, a price forecast.

Security advisories: Known exploited vulnerabilities (CISA KEV) enriched with daily FIRST EPSS exploit probability. Use when a user asks whether a CVE is actively exploited, which vulnerabilities in a vendor or product to patch first, whether it is used in ransomware campaigns, or needs CISA KEV due dates, required actions and FIRST EPSS exploit probability in one call.

Compute the exact probability distribution of a dice notation — mean, variance, standard deviation, min/max and the full probability mass function — with no sampling. Notations whose outcome range is too large for exact computation are clean 400s.

StatEdge parlay analyzer — true probability vs implied probability and expected value for any parlay

Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed (/v1/polymarket-odds) — Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)

Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed (/v1/polymarket-odds) — Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events.

Structured evaluation with TypeSafe's Jev (System One) model. Send any state plus typed questions — noul (true/false), choice (pick one), or score (ordinal scale) — and get back calibrated probabilities and confidence for each. Built for routing, classification, triage and policy checks where a fast, predictable, machine-readable answer beats prose.

New Solana tokens as they launch on pump.fun: a cursor feed of new memecoin launches with rug probability and graduation odds ($0.001 per poll). Use when a bot polls for newly launched Solana tokens on pump.fun with their calibrated odds; for a one-off screen of the last hour use GET /v1/launches/recent, and for one mint the $0.005 rug check.

Official US weather forecast from the National Weather Service (NOAA): multi-day and hourly periods for any US coordinates or street address. Temperature in Celsius and Fahrenheit, precipitation probability, wind speed and direction, and plain-language conditions. Authoritative government public-domain data, commercial use OK.

Multiplies per-contact transmission probability, effective contacts per day and infectious duration to obtain a simple basic reproduction number, then applies a susceptible fraction for an effective number. It is a classroom homogeneous-mixing calculation, not an outbreak estimate, fitted epidemiological model or public-health forecast.

Real-time pre-trade signal: a probability snapshot of Hyperliquid's HIP-4 prediction markets - crypto price binaries, sports outcomes, tournament winners, Fed rate decisions, and more. Fields are parsed verbatim from Hyperliquid, so new market types appear automatically. Optional template/underlying filters narrow the result; limit caps rows (max 500). Subscribe to webhook alerts via GET /v1/predi

DripMetricsAI (api description at https://dripmetrics.ai/) provides on-demand market microstructure and risk metrics for agents and developers. Agents can pay per request via x402 and receive structured JSON metrics without subscriptions or API keys. VPIN measures volume-synchronized order-flow imbalance (an adverse-selection proxy, not a probability); see excessVpin. Discovery examples use the la

News prediction market catalyst API for agents. Ranks prediction market signals by freshness, confidence, urgency, liquidity, and probability context.

Significant earthquakes — search USGS seismic events above an explicit significance-score threshold, with magnitude and provenance but no danger or probability claim.

Search open Polymarket and Kalshi markets by keywords; each market with outcomes and implied probabilities, 24h volume, liquidity or open interest, end date and link, ranked by match then volume.

Structured evaluation with TypeSafe's Jev (System One) model. Send any state plus typed questions — noul (true/false), choice (pick one), or score (ordinal scale) — and get back calibrated probabilities and confidence for each. Built for routing, classification, triage and policy checks where a fast, predictable, machine-readable answer beats prose.

Calibrated 1X2 probabilities plus derived markets (totals, BTTS, correct score) for every upcoming fixture across the big-five European leagues. Backed by a public, Brier-scored track record.

Structured evaluation with TypeSafe's Jev (System One) model. Send any state plus typed questions — noul (true/false), choice (pick one), or score (ordinal scale) — and get back calibrated probabilities and confidence for each. Built for routing, classification, triage and policy checks where a fast, predictable, machine-readable answer beats prose.

Turn a news headline into the matching Polymarket prediction markets to trade. One call returns the top markets ranked by relevance, each with live odds/implied probability, 24h drift, spread, on-book liquidity, volume, resolution date, and a ready bet link. Use when a trading agent reacts to breaking news and needs the tradeable market instantly. $0.01 USDC on Base.

Single models are everywhere. This is the disagreement between them: per hour a median with a p15/p85 band, the full min/max spread, how many models still carry that hour, an agreement score, rain probability derived from pooled ensemble members rather than one deterministic run, a frost assessment, and the official DWD warnings in force for the point.

Live directional read from a real-money Kalshi ETH hourly (KXETHD) trading model (same volatility model as the BTC signal): current near-the-money strike, model probability vs market price, and computed edge. Informational model output, not investment advice — the strategy's real historical win rate / P&L is public at the bot's dashboard, good and bad stretches included.

Seattle weather forecast API: live temperature nowcast and daily high forecast for Seattle-Tacoma Intl (KSEA), with calibrated probability the temperature ends above/below any Fahrenheit strike. KSEA is the official settlement station for Kalshi KXHIGHTSEA daily high temperature prediction markets. Built for AI agents trading weather prediction markets or needing real-time weather data. $0.05 with

Paid (x402, USDC on Base). Fit isotonic calibration on YOUR labelled outcomes ({p,y} pairs) and recalibrate the given probabilities. Statele

Top active Polymarket prediction markets by volume, with live implied probabilities + one-line read

GFS+ECMWF ensemble temperature probability for NWS weather prediction markets